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Annual Operating Plan

The year's strategy expressed as numbers somebody is accountable to: what will be spent, what it is expected to produce, and who owns each part.

Why does Annual Operating Plan matter?

A strategy that never becomes numbers stays a set of intentions everyone interprets differently. The plan is where intentions get priced: hiring this many people means this much burn, which means this much runway, which means the raise happens at this point, which requires these results by then. Writing that chain down is what turns a wish into a set of commitments, and it is also the fastest way to discover that the strategy as stated is not affordable. For an early company it does not need to be elaborate, but it does need to connect spend to expected output and name an owner for each line.

What does Annual Operating Plan look like in practice?

Suppose the plan is to double revenue. Priced out, that means four more people, which at current burn moves the cash-out date forward by five months, which means the round must be raised in the second quarter rather than the fourth, which means the metrics investors will ask about have to be true by the first. Written down, the question becomes whether the second-quarter results are plausible. If those first-quarter results are not plausible, the choice is to hire fewer people or to change the goal, and both are better than discovering the mismatch when the runway is short.

What are the common mistakes with Annual Operating Plan?

  • Planning revenue without planning the spend that produces it, which makes the plan arithmetic rather than a decision.
  • Setting it once and never comparing it to actuals, so the plan stops describing the company within a quarter.
  • Leaving lines unowned. A number nobody is accountable to is a forecast, not a plan.
  • Planning at a level of detail the company cannot act on. At fifteen people a page beats a workbook.

Related concepts

  • Financial ModelA spreadsheet that connects the decisions you are weighing to the cash they produce and consume, so you can see what a plan costs before you commit to it.
  • OKRs (Objectives and Key Results)A goal-setting framework that pairs a qualitative Objective, what you want to be true, with a small number of measurable Key Results that define whether you got there.
  • Weekly Business ReviewA short recurring meeting where the same small set of numbers is read in the same order, so changes are noticed by the group rather than by whoever happened to look.
  • Burn Rate and RunwayBurn rate is how much cash you lose per month; runway is how many months of it you have left before the money runs out.

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