In this edition: Six things that changed, The cards we read this month, The release map, Which model for which job, Chatbots and voice: when speed matters, The price map, What to watch, What developers actually run, Where founders are moving, What we learned routing models inside Lev, Go deeper, and Method and sources.
Six things that changed
OpenAITest this first if you run a mid model
GPT-6.1 Terra arrived at $1 in, $5 out
OpenAI's new mid tier (system card, Oct 26) accepts reasoning effort "none", writes well and reads screens and documents. On the Artificial Analysis index it scores 42 at high effort for 26 cents a task: 97 percent cheaper per task than Claude Sonnet 5.5 at its best setting ($10.02), the mid model most founders reach for, for a score 22 percent lower (42 vs 54). With reasoning off it starts answering in under a second, and Artificial Analysis measures about 1.5 times Sol's output speed (OpenAI claims 3x). If your product runs on last generation's mid model, this is the one to test first.
GoogleFinish any Argon trial before Dec 1
Gemini 4 Argon went GA, then Carbon took first place
Argon (model card) went GA Oct 13 at $2 / $10, Sonnet 5.5's list price, and costs 23 percent less per task than Sonnet at its best setting ($7.68 vs $10.02) for a score 7 percent lower (50 vs 54); the price doubles Dec 1. Carbon (Oct 28, no card yet) scores 2 percent above Opus 5.5 (59 vs 58) at 23 percent less per task ($7.76 vs $10.04) and tops LMArena Text, but is gated to cyber defenders for now.
Artificial AnalysisNever compare old and new scores
Artificial Analysis reset its index to v5
On Oct 27 the index swapped in private test sets. Haiku 5.5 fell from 43 to 36 (16 percent) with no model change; Kimi K3.1 Pro from 55 to 46. The gap from the best closed model to the best downloadable open model is now 27 points (59 vs 32), 46 percent of the leader's score, against 12 points on the old scale. Never compare a September score with a November one.
Mistral · Reflection AI · Meta · DeepSeekCheaper open models worth a trial
Mistral, Reflection and Meta shipped what they said
Mistral Large 4 (model card) landed Oct 29 at 63 percent lower cost per task than its own October preview ($2.06 vs $5.54), the top open model outside China. Reflection Beam (model card) shipped Apache 2.0 weights Oct 16 using half the output tokens of K2 Horizon for one point less. Muse Spark Open (model card), 816B parameters, is the top US open model at 25, 58 percent below the index leader. DeepSeek V4.1 Flash 1017 (model card) scores 32 at $0.60 a task, 94 percent cheaper than Opus 5.5 for 55 percent of its score, and runs 48 trillion tokens a week on OpenRouter.
xAI · Mistral · OpenAIMove off OpenAI TTS by Jan 6, 2027
Grok Voice 3.0 leads speech to speech; OpenAI retires its TTS line
Grok Voice 3.0 (release post, no card) tops the Artificial Analysis speech-to-speech index at 86.9, up 7 percent on Voice 2.0, with support-call accuracy up 27 percent (71.6 vs 56.5 on tau-Voice) at the same $0.08 a minute, though it answers slightly slower (0.81 s to first audio vs 0.70 s). Voxtral 3 (release post, no card) prices transcription at $0.0035 a minute, 22 percent below OpenAI's GPT Transcribe. OpenAI retires tts-1 and tts-1-hd on Jan 6, 2027 with a realtime-only replacement, so anything built on them needs a new home.
AnthropicTry Sonnet before Opus for documents
Claude shipped no model and held the work boards anyway
Opus 5.5 (system card) leads GDPval-AA (documents, slides, spreadsheets) by 28 Elo over Sonnet 5.5 at twice the list price, and Sonnet 5.5 lands within 2 percent of it on the Vals Terminal-Bench run (64.1 vs 65.2 percent). The newest entry on Anthropic's system card index is still Haiku 5.5 (Oct 7). API version 2026-10-21 removes temperature; Opus 5.5 fast mode is GA at 2x price ($8 / $40) for up to 2.5x output speed (Anthropic's claim, not yet measured independently).
The cards we read this month
Every claim above traces to one of these 18 documents. Where a vendor published no card, the release post stands in and is marked.
| Model | Vendor | Date | Document |
|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6.1 Terra | OpenAI | Oct 26, 2026 | System card addendum |
| GPT-6 Luna, October update | OpenAI | Oct 29, 2026 | System card addendum |
| GPT-Live-1.1 and Quip | OpenAI | Oct 15, 2026 | System card |
| GPT-Rosalind-6 | OpenAI | Oct 30, 2026 | System card addendum |
| Gemini 4 Argon | Google DeepMind | Oct 13, 2026 | Model card |
| Gemini 4 Carbon | Google DeepMind | Oct 28, 2026 | Announcement (no card yet) |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | Anthropic | Sep 22, 2026 | System card |
| Claude Haiku 5.5 | Anthropic | Oct 7, 2026 | System card |
| Muse Wonder | Meta | Oct 12, 2026 | Model card |
| Muse Spark Open 816B-A42B | Meta | Oct 15, 2026 | Model card |
| Mistral Large 4 | Mistral | Oct 29, 2026 | Model card and release notes |
| Voxtral 3 | Mistral | Oct 20, 2026 | Announcement (no card) |
| Grok Voice 3.0 | xAI | Oct 14, 2026 | Announcement (no card) |
| Kimi K3.1 Pro | Moonshot | Oct 23, 2026 | Release post (weights and card due Nov 4) |
| DeepSeek V4.1 Flash 1017 | DeepSeek | Oct 17, 2026 | Model card and release notes |
| Reflection Beam 1.0 | Reflection AI | Oct 16, 2026 | Model card |
| MiniMax M3.1 Flash | MiniMax | Oct 23, 2026 | Model card |
| Nemotron 3.5 Super VL | NVIDIA | Oct 15, 2026 | Model card |
Platform notes read alongside the cards: OpenAI deprecations · OpenAI GPT-6 effort levels · Anthropic API 2026-10-21 migration · Gemini API changelog · Gemini zero data retention.
The release map
Every notable release since October 2024, one lane per lab. Closed labs sit above the line in solid dots; open-weight models sit below in hollow rings. Larger, labeled dots are generational releases: a new model family or major version rather than a point update. Click any dot for what it is best at and its source.
The pace is picking up. Our map holds 24 notable releases dated October 2026 and 15 in September, against 4 to 8 a month through the first half of the year; the two months together carry 12 generational releases (a new model family or major version, such as GPT-6.1 Terra or Gemini 4 Argon, not a point update or a new snapshot of an existing model), more than the first six months of 2026 combined (11). Between January and June a generational release landed about every two weeks; in September and October, about every five days. Some of that is our own tracking getting denser as the series matured, so read the ratio as direction, not a precise multiple; benchlm.ai keeps an independent release count that shows the same slope. For a founder the practical effect is that the "best model for the job" table below has a shorter shelf life than it did a year ago, which is the argument for a monthly review and a harness rather than a one-time choice.
- Anthropic
- OpenAI
- xAI
- Meta
- DeepSeek
- Alibaba
- Mistral
- Google (Gemma)
- OpenAI (gpt-oss)
- Moonshot (Kimi)
- Zhipu (GLM)
- MiniMax
- Xiaomi
- NVIDIA
- Other open
- Weights announced, not yet released
Mistral Large 4 (open weights)
- About 1T MoE, 52B active, 1M context, vision
- Weights Oct 29 under Mistral Ecosystem Open-Weight License
- AA v5 26, top open model outside China; API $0.70/$2.10
154 of 154 releases shown. Announced models with weights still pending are drawn hollow and not counted. Data checked November 1, 2026; every entry links to its source.
Which model for which job
A founder's routing table. "Best" is the model independent boards favor for that job today; "value" is the one that gets most of the way there for a fraction of the price. Prices are USD per million tokens, input / output, list price on Nov 1, 2026.
| Job | Best today | Value pick | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Investor memos, PRDs, long business documents | Claude Opus 5.5 ($4 / $20) | Claude Sonnet 5.5 ($2 / $10) or GPT-6.1 Sol ($2 / $10) | Opus 5.5 leads GDPval-AA, the board that grades finished documents, slides and spreadsheets, and took #1 on LMArena Writing on Oct 13. Sonnet 5.5 sits within 30 Elo of it at half the price. |
| Everyday drafting, rewrites, summaries | GPT-6.1 Terra ($1 / $5) | Claude Haiku 5.5 ($0.10 / $0.50) | OpenAI's own guide recommends Terra for drafting and revising text; its factual-error rate matches the pricier Sol. Haiku 5.5 is the strongest model under $1 on the new index (36). |
| Research with web search (market, competitors, investors) | GPT-6 Astra ($10 / $50) or Kimi K3.1 Pro ($2 / $10) | GPT-6.1 Sol ($2 / $10) | BrowseComp leaders are all self-reported; Astra and K3.1 Pro claim 91 to 92 percent. On LMArena Search, GPT-5.6 Sol and Qwen3.8 Max tie at the top and Opus 5.5 is eighth. Budget for search fees separately: they can be a fifth of the bill. |
| Building and shipping code | Claude Opus 5.5 ($4 / $20) | GPT-6.1 Sol ($2 / $10), $1.72 per Terminal-Bench task vs $13.20 | Vals' Terminal-Bench 4.0 run (Oct 29): Opus 5.5 65.2%, Sonnet 5.5 64.1%, Kimi K3.1 Pro 63.6%, Gemini 4 Carbon 63.1%, GPT-6.1 Sol 55.1%. Harness choice flips Carbon and Opus; cost does not. |
| Classification, routing, extraction at volume | Claude Haiku 5.5 ($0.10 / $0.50) | GPT-6 Luna ($0.10 / $0.50), cheapest per task; DeepSeek V4.1 Flash 1017 if you can self-host or accept an open-weight host | Same list price; Haiku scores higher, Luna uses fewer tokens. Luna's Decisions API returns rubric scores with no output charge, which is the cheapest grader available. Haiku's price steps up fivefold above 100K prompt tokens. |
| Judging quality (LLM as judge) | A frontier judge with reference answers and both answer orders | Decisions API on Luna as a first pass | The largest judge study to date found only Gemini 3.1 Pro and Claude Opus 4.6 stayed top three across all three benchmarks; structured rubrics add about 6 points of alignment. No 5.5-generation judge benchmark exists yet. |
| Images with text on them (social cards, slides) | GPT Image 2.5 Sunburst | Nano Banana 2.1, about 4 cents per image | Sunburst leads LMArena text rendering (1466 vs 1361). In an 8-prompt test every model spelled correctly; they differ on layout and on adding things you did not ask for. |
| Voice: reading a script aloud | Eleven v4 Turbo ($40 per M characters) | Gemini 3.8 Flash TTS (about $16.5 per M, doubles Jan 1) | Artificial Analysis TTS Elo: Eleven v4 Turbo 1336, Gemini 3.8 Flash TTS 1283. OpenAI's batch TTS endpoints retire Jan 6, 2027. |
| Voice: transcribing what founders say | Microsoft MAI-Transcribe-2, 2.0% WER at $1.67 per 1,000 min | Groq Whisper v3 Turbo, 4.6% WER at $0.67 | Alibaba's Fun-Realtime-ASR leads accuracy at 1.7%; ElevenLabs Scribe v2 is fourth despite its marketing. Pay for accuracy only if users complain. |
| Agents that use a computer or fill forms | Gemini 4 Argon ($2 / $10 until Dec 1) | GPT-6.1 Terra, computer use near Astra at a tenth the price (vendor claim) | Argon leads AutomationBench-AA at 77.5% and Google's Computer Use tool reached GA on Oct 30. Argon is slow: Endor Labs measured it 6.3x slower than Opus 5.5 inside Cursor. |
Chatbots and voice: when speed matters
For a chatbot, a support agent or a voice assistant, the wait before the first word matters as much as the answer. Here is what to reach for when response time is part of the product. Figures are from Artificial Analysis (text) and its speech-to-speech board (voice), read November 3, 2026.
| Use | Pick | First token | Output speed | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Support or sales chat, cost first | GPT-6 Luna, reasoning off (OpenAI) | 0.82 s | 108 tok/s | The quickest first token of the closed models we track, at $0.10 in and $0.50 out per million tokens. |
| Chat that has to think a little | GPT-6.1 Terra, reasoning off (OpenAI), or Claude Sonnet 5.5 at low effort (Anthropic) | 0.96 s / 1.20 s | 88 / 101 tok/s | Better answers than the small tier and still about a second to the first word. Terra is the cheaper of the two. |
| Long answers streamed into a chat (drafts, summaries) | Reflection Beam (open weights) | 0.71 s | 355 tok/s | About 3.5 times Sonnet 5.5's output speed. You host it or pick a provider, so check that provider's data terms. |
| Open-weight value | DeepSeek V4.1 Flash 1017, reasoning off | 1.35 s | 179 tok/s | Fast and cheap per task; MIT license. Same data-terms check as any self-hosted or third-party endpoint. |
| Voice agents (speech to speech) | Grok Voice 3.0 (xAI) for quality; GPT-Realtime-2.1 Mini (OpenAI) for speed | 0.81 s / 0.85 s to first audio | n/a | Grok Voice 3.0 tops the speech-to-speech quality index (86.9) at $0.08 a minute, but answers a little slower than Grok Voice 2.0 (0.70 s). GPT-Realtime-2.1 on its minimal setting is 13 percent faster than GPT-Realtime-2. |
| What to avoid in live chat | High or max reasoning on any model | 12 s to several minutes | n/a | First-token time includes thinking: Sonnet 5.5 goes from 1.2 s at low effort to 12.6 s at high. Claude Haiku 5.5 writes fast (166 tok/s) but takes 9 s to start even at low effort. |
Vendor speed claims, checked: OpenAI says GPT-6.1 Terra completes tasks more than three times faster than Sol; Artificial Analysis measures about 1.4 to 1.6 times Sol's output speed. Anthropic says Opus 5.5 fast mode gives up to 2.5 times the output speed at twice the price; no independent measurement exists yet. No video or image model released this month published generation times we could compare, so this table covers text and voice only.
The price map
List prices per million tokens on Nov 1, 2026. Click a column heading to sort. Promotional prices with an end date are marked. Cost per task on the Artificial Analysis index is the fairer comparison, since verbose models spend more tokens on the same work. Speed and first-token time come from the Artificial Analysis leaderboard, read November 3, 2026, at the lowest reasoning setting it measured (in brackets): that is the setting a live chat would use. For reasoning models, first-token time includes thinking. n/a means we have no measurement.
| Gemini 4 Carbon | $2 intro | $10 intro | 59 | $7.76 | 91 (medium) | 27.96 (medium) | Not publicly callable yet | |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | Anthropic | $4 | $20 | 58 | $10.04 | 78 (low) | 10.71 (low) | Fast mode $8 / $40 |
| GPT-6 Astra | OpenAI | $10 | $50 | 57 | $3.24 (high) | n/a | n/a | No effort "none" |
| GPT-6.1 Sol | OpenAI | $2 | $10 | 55 | $0.76 (xhigh) | 62 (low) | 2.51 (low) | No effort "none" |
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 | Anthropic | $2 | $10 | 54 (max) | $10.02 (max) | 101 (low) | 1.20 (low) | Fastest of the top tier |
| Gemini 4 Argon | $2 to Nov 30, then $4 | $10 to Nov 30, then $20 | 50 | $7.68 | 81 (high) | 41.52 (high) | 110M tokens to run the index | |
| GPT-6.1 Terra | OpenAI | $1 | $5 | 51 (max), 42 (high) | $0.26 (high) | 88 (off) | 0.96 (off) | Supports effort "none" |
| Kimi K3.1 Pro | Moonshot | $2 | $10 | 46 | $1.98 | 32 | 3.31 | Weights promised by Nov 4 |
| Claude Haiku 5.5 | Anthropic | $0.10 | $0.50 | 36 | $0.41 | 166 (low) | 8.96 (low) | 5x price above 100K prompt tokens |
| DeepSeek V4.1 Flash 1017 | DeepSeek (open, MIT) | $0.30 ($0.035 on OpenRouter) | $1.20 ($0.50) | 32 | $0.60 | 179 (off) | 1.35 (off) | Top released open model |
| Gemini 3.8 Flash | $0.75 to Dec 31, then $1.50 | $3.75, then $7.50 | 31 | $7.77 | 137 (high) | 26.19 (high) | Very verbose on the index | |
| GPT-6 Luna | OpenAI | $0.10 | $0.50 | 28 | $0.15 | 108 (off) | 0.82 (off) | Decisions API: no output charge |
| Mistral Large 4 | Mistral (open weights) | $0.70 | $2.10 | 26 | $2.06 | n/a | n/a | Top open model outside China |
What to watch
- Kimi K3.1 Pro weights, promised by Nov 4. If they land under a usable license, the strongest open model of the year becomes self-hostable.
- Gemini 4 Carbon's API date, and Argon's price step on Dec 1.
- Qwen4, after a "coming soon" slide on Oct 29 that listed Max, Flash, Plus and 27B.
- Whether OpenAI's proposed end of Cursor's direct model access on Nov 12 holds; GPT-6 models are still absent from Cursor.
- Labs retuning for the private v5 test sets; expect open-weight scores to move.
What developers actually run
Leaderboards measure what a model can do. OpenRouter's rankings measure what people pay to run, across hundreds of apps routing through one API, updated weekly. Both matter; they disagree more than you would expect.
| Week of Oct 19, 2026 | Reading |
|---|---|
| Top model by tokens | DeepSeek V4.1 Flash 1017, 47.8T tokens, up 55 percent. Seven of the top ten by tokens are open-weight models. |
| Share of requests by lab | DeepSeek 26.5%, Google 20.1%, OpenAI 18.5%, Z.ai 10.7%, Anthropic 5.5% (up 25 percent week over week), Qwen 4.7%. |
| Open vs closed | Open-weight models carried about 72 percent of tokens in mid October, and more than half every week since April; most of the spend still goes to closed models, because closed tokens cost more. |
| Closed models in the top ten | GPT-6 Luna (10.3T), Claude Opus 5.5 (6.9T), GPT-5.6 Luna (4T). The cheap tiers and the one premium coding model. |
| Routing default | Changed Oct 28 from cheapest provider to a balance of cost, speed and reliability per request. |
Sources: openrouter.ai/rankings · OpenRouter announcements · OpenRouter zero data retention · open vs closed token share tracker · closed-weight usage, 51-week view.
Where founders are moving
Two questions come up on every founder call: should I switch models, and should I go open. The data says switching is at a record high and mostly happens for price, and that open weights are winning volume while closed models keep the spend.
Model to model: switching is up, and price is the trigger
Ramp (Oct 6, 2026) reports that the monthly share of businesses switching AI providers, averaged over three months, reached a record 8 percent in September. Switching had fallen for a year after Anthropic's gains in May 2025, then OpenAI's June 2026 price cuts and launch run broke the equilibrium; the two labs have announced at least nine models since. Ramp's own framing: an early sign that models are becoming commodities. The October Ramp AI Index adds the standings among Ramp customers for September: 43.8 percent pay Anthropic, 40.6 percent pay OpenAI (up 1.1 points in a month), many pay for both, token spend has been flat for two months, and buyers are getting discounts off list because the customer now holds the negotiating position.
The older Menlo Ventures survey (July 2025) shows what switching looked like before prices moved: only 11 percent of teams had changed provider in a year, 66 percent had upgraded within their vendor, and Claude already held 42 percent of code generation to OpenAI's 21 percent. Put the two together and the pattern is clear. Most "switching" is tier hopping inside one vendor (GPT-5.4 to Terra, Opus 5 to Opus 5.5) or adding a second vendor for one job, not ripping out a stack.
What this means for a founder. Switch by job, not by brand: documents and coding to Claude, high-volume steps to the cheapest tier that passes your test, computer use to Gemini or Terra. Let price moves, not launch posts, trigger a re-test; a 60 percent price cut on a mid tier is worth an afternoon, a two-point benchmark win is not. And check the effort levels a model accepts before you plan a swap: the cheapest tier is only cheap if it runs with reasoning off where you need it to.
Open vs closed: open wins the tokens, closed keeps the money
On OpenRouter, open-weight models carried about 72 percent of tokens in mid October and seven of the top ten models by tokens are open; DeepSeek alone takes 26.5 percent of requests. A 51-week view has closed models falling from 74 percent to 28 percent of tokens while their absolute usage still grew 13-fold. Spend tells the opposite story: most OpenRouter dollars still go to closed models, Ramp finds Mistral under 1 percent of US business adoption, and Menlo's mid-2025 survey had closed models powering 87 percent of enterprise production workloads with open usage falling from 19 to 13 percent as the quality gap widened.
The gap is real and it just got wider on paper. On the new Artificial Analysis v5 index the best model with downloadable weights trails the best closed one by 27 points, or 12 once Kimi K3.1 Pro ships its weights; Epoch AI puts the lag at about four months. The reset hit open models hardest because the private test sets removed contamination. The US and European open entries that shipped this month (Muse Spark Open, Beam, Mistral Large 4) matter for sovereignty and fine-tuning, and all landed mid-pack.
What this means for a founder. You are probably already using open models without choosing to: the cheap tiers and the routers that got Terra to $1 exist because DeepSeek and GLM set the price floor. Use open weights where the task is bounded and judged by a machine (classification, extraction, bulk coding agents) and where your data terms allow it; keep closed models where a human judges the output (investor documents, pitch narrative, evaluation). Almost no founder should self-host. If Moonshot ships K3.1 Pro weights under a usable license on Nov 4, re-run this comparison.
Sources: Ramp, provider switching (Oct 6, 2026) · Ramp AI Index (Oct 14, 2026) · Menlo Ventures mid-2025 LLM market update (Jul 31, 2025) · OpenRouter rankings · open vs closed token tracker · AA Index v5 · Epoch AI. Ramp figures cover Ramp customers; Menlo is a 150-leader survey. A widely shared claim that one model drives 34 percent of business spend is not in Ramp's written report and is left out here.
What we learned routing models inside Lev
We are the team that builds Lev, and this review exists because we needed it ourselves. Lev is an AI cofounder: it evaluates a startup the way an investor would, researches its market and competitors, drafts the pitch and the investor list, and works through the founder's plan with them in chat. Each of those is a separate model call with its own feature label in our telemetry, so on the first of every month, the same run that reads the new cards also reads Lev's own October spend, feature by feature, and proposes what to test. The numbers below are Lev's; the lessons travel.
Measure spend by feature before you measure by model
Lev's investor-style evaluation, the report that scores a company on team, market, product and traction, was 35 percent of our monthly bill on its own. Founders run it early and often, so it earns the spend, but no model swap matters as much as knowing which feature to swap it on. If your LLM calls carry a feature label into your analytics, this takes one query.
Web search fees are their own line item
Seventeen percent of our October spend was search fees inside the market and competitor research steps, plus the step that classifies investors for a founder's target list, which paid two cents of search per record. Cache search results and cap calls per request before you touch the model.
Reasoning tokens are where the mid tier gets expensive
Market research and competitive research, our two biggest research steps, spent 69 to 79 percent of their output tokens on reasoning. An effort setting is a cheaper experiment than a model change, and it ships without a new vendor agreement.
Check the effort levels a model accepts before you plan around it
We had planned to drop GPT-6.1 Sol into the founder chat and the writing canvas, the surfaces where a founder is waiting on every reply and we run with reasoning off. Sol does not accept effort "none". Terra does. One line in the model docs changed the plan.
Do not switch without a harness
Every swap above is a bounded experiment: one call site, config A against config B, 20 to 30 real but anonymized inputs, a judge with a rubric and both answer orders, a pass or fail threshold. Without it every change is a guess, and the cheap model always looks fine in a demo.
Data terms gate everything
Zero-retention and no-training terms in writing are the gate for any new provider. In October Google turned prompt storage on by default for new Gemini projects; ElevenLabs trains on non-Enterprise data by default. Read the data page before the model card.
What Lev runs today, and what is on the bench for November
Lev ran entirely on OpenAI's GPT-5.4 family in October; no other provider appears in our telemetry. The table is honest about pace: none of the swaps proposed in October's edition has shipped yet, because the thing they all need, a quality harness to judge A against B on real founder inputs, was only built in the last days of October. Its first jobs are effort changes, not model changes.
| Lev feature | Model today | Changed recently? | On the bench for November |
|---|---|---|---|
| Investor-style evaluation (checkpoints, grading, narrative) | GPT-5.4 | No | GPT-6.1 Sol at low effort for grading, Terra for the narrative; switch only if agreement with our anchor scores holds and cost per evaluation falls 30 percent or more |
| Founder chat, onboarding chat, deck and fact extraction | GPT-5.4, reasoning off | No | GPT-6.1 Terra at effort none; switch a surface when blind preference for Terra is at least 45 percent and p90 latency is no worse |
| Market research, competitive and TAM research, weekly market update | GPT-5.4 mini with web search | Investor research re-benchmarked onto mini at low effort in August | Lower effort first; cache search results; re-run the research probe with Terra and Sol; trial Gemini 4 Argon for competitive maps before its price doubles Dec 1 |
| Investor classification for target lists | GPT-5.4 mini with web search | New in October telemetry | Cache per firm for 30 days, one search per call; keep if classification agreement on 50 firms is 95 percent or better |
| Plans, task skeletons, summaries, spotlights (the default step) | GPT-5.4 mini, reasoning off | No | GPT-6 Luna, with Claude Haiku 5.5 as challenger; switch if blind-rated outputs are within 5 percent of mini (Haiku needs zero-retention terms in writing first) |
| Long documents: dossier, investor update, pitch story, Learn drafts | GPT-5.4, high verbosity | No | Claude Opus 5.5 and Sonnet 5.5 on a blind read of ten documents, pending data terms |
| Accelerator score, Brutal read, coaching | GPT-5.4 mini, medium effort | Yes: the harness was built for these at the end of October | Effort changes ship first: score at none, Brutal read at low, suggestions at medium verbosity |
| Background events and idea matching | GPT-5.4 nano, GPT-5 nano | No | GPT-6 Luna, ahead of the nano shutdown on Apr 1, 2027 |
| Pitch Perfect voice | tts-1-hd | No | Forced: tts-1-hd retires Jan 6, 2027. Gemini 3.8 Flash TTS first, Eleven v4 Turbo and Voxtral Mini TTS 3 as alternates, decided on a ten-clip listening test with founders |
| Voice transcription | Groq distil-whisper | No | Keep |
How we run this for Lev, and how you can
System Card is a scheduled Claude job that runs for Lev on the first of each month; this edition came out of the November 1 run. The agent reads the previous edition, searches each lab separately for what shipped, opens every new system card or model card directly rather than the press release, and checks each vendor claim against the independent boards (Artificial Analysis, Vals, LMArena, OpenRouter). Then it turns to Lev: it pulls the month's production telemetry from PostHog, where every one of Lev's model calls carries a feature label (evaluation, market research, competitive research, pitch, investor classification, chat, canvas), and asks one question per feature: are we leaving quality, speed or cost on the table. It writes three things: this page, an internal report for the Lev product team with a proposed experiment per feature, and a release ledger that next month's run starts from. A person on the team reads the report before anything changes in Lev.
The table above is this month's output for Lev. The three that matter most are not model swaps in the usual sense: try GPT-6.1 Terra, not Sol, on founder chat and the canvas, because Terra runs with reasoning off; lower the effort setting on market and competitive research before touching the model, because reasoning tokens were most of their cost; and cache and cap web search inside research and investor classification, because search fees were a sixth of the bill. Each becomes a ticket in Linear with a keep-or-switch threshold, and runs on Lev's A/B harness before it ships. Next month's edition will say which ran, and what happened.
The tools are ordinary: Claude running on a schedule (a scheduled task with a skill file that holds the procedure) for the reading and writing; PostHog's LLM analytics for cost, tokens, reasoning share and latency by feature and model (any tracing tool that stores a feature label per call works, for example Langfuse or Braintrust); a 20 to 30 item golden set of real, anonymized founder inputs per feature; a small A/B script with an LLM judge, a rubric, and both answer orders; and Linear, where every proposed swap becomes a bounded ticket.
To do the same on your product:
- Tag every model call with a feature name and log tokens, cost and latency. If you do nothing else, do this; everything below depends on it.
- Once a month, pull spend by feature and by model, plus the two hidden lines: web search fees and reasoning tokens as a share of output.
- Read the cards for what shipped, or read this page. Note price, effort levels supported, context, and the weak spots section; that is where the surprises are.
- Pick one feature and one challenger. The biggest feature by spend and the cheapest model that plausibly matches it is the default first experiment.
- Build the golden set from real inputs, run A against B, and judge blind with a rubric. Decide the pass threshold before you look at the results.
- Switch only on a passing run, and only after the provider's zero-retention and no-training terms are in writing. Then log the experiment, including the ones that failed, so next month starts from evidence.
Run this on your own product
We packaged the recipe above as a Lev skill: one file you add to Claude Code, Cursor or Codex. It maps every model call in your codebase, pulls spend and latency by feature, reads this month's System Card, picks one feature and one challenger, and sets up a blind test with a keep-or-switch rule before anything changes.
Download the Lev skillIn Claude Code, save it as .claude/skills/lev-system-card/SKILL.md (skill folders expect that file name), then ask: run the Lev System Card skill on this product.
Go deeper
The people and boards we check our own reading against. If you only follow three, take the first three.
| Source | What it is good for |
|---|---|
| Artificial Analysis | The independent intelligence index, speed and cost per task, plus boards for open weights, speech to text, text to speech and speech to speech. Read the v5 index note before comparing any two scores. |
| Simon Willison's weblog | A hands-on note on nearly every release within hours, with what it cost to run. The closest thing to a model changelog written by a working engineer. |
| OpenRouter rankings | What developers route to, by tokens and by lab, every week. The table above. |
| Vals AI | Independent runs of Terminal-Bench 4.0, legal, finance and the Vals Index, with cost per test next to the score. |
| LMArena | Human preference votes for text, web dev, vision, search and images; the only board where "people liked it" is the metric. |
| GDPval-AA | Graded documents, slides and spreadsheets, the closest proxy for business writing quality. |
| Epoch AI | How far open weights trail the frontier, measured in months, over years. |
| Latent Space, AI News | Launch-day digests that gather the independent numbers in one place. |
| ThursdAI release timeline | A running list of releases across labs, weekly show attached. |
| Hugging Face, State of Open Models | Seasonal review of open releases and, usefully, their licenses. |
| State of AI Report | Air Street Capital's annual long view; the trend narrative once a year. |
| benchlm.ai | Release statistics by month and leaderboard history. |
| Reliability without Validity (arXiv) | The largest study of LLM judges to date: 21 judges, 541k judgments. Read before you let a model grade your product. |
| Cursor model docs | Which models an IDE with millions of users offers and at what price, a good proxy for what engineers reach for. |
Method and sources
We read each vendor's system or model card directly, then check it against independent boards: Artificial Analysis, Vals, LMArena (via dated mirrors this month, since arena.ai served stale pages), Terminal-Bench, GDPval-AA, and the speech boards. Every price and score above was looked up on Nov 1, 2026. Vendor-only numbers are marked as such.
Cards and docs: GPT-6.1 Terra · Gemini 4 Argon · Gemini 4 Carbon · Mistral Large 4 · Kimi K3.1 Pro · DeepSeek V4.1 Flash 1017 · Muse Spark Open · Grok Voice 3.0 · OpenAI deprecations. Boards: Artificial Analysis · Index v5 · Vals Terminal-Bench 4.0 · GDPval-AA · AA speech to text · AA text to speech · OpenRouter rankings · Judge reliability study.
